Kestra · Results · Results by league

Primeira Liga

Kestra's calls in the Primeira Liga: every settled one on the record, at the price it was published at before kick-off, losers included.

86% landed · 343 decided · 22 void · Walk-forward calls on past matches and live calls together, as the results page counts them; the split is printed there.

Live calls since Thursday 10 September 2026: 12 of 15 landed

The latest settled calls

The newest 15 settled calls · every one is on the results page

Sat 7 Nov

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 7 Nov
    Sp Lisbon v Moreirense
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Lisbon to winMatch result
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Lisbon to win
    Published price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.17 (17/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.83 v 0.70

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.586%
    • Over 2.569%
    • Over 3.547%
    • Over 4.528%
    Both teams to score47%
    Sp Lisbon clean sheet50%
    Moreirense clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Moreirense by 21%
    Moreirense by 15%
    Draw12%
    Sp Lisbon by 120%
    Sp Lisbon by 221%
    Sp Lisbon by 3+40%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 4–0 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Mon 2 Nov

  1. Primeira Liga · Mon 2 Nov
    Benfica v Alverca
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Benfica to winMatch result
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Benfica to win
    Published price1.19 (19/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.19 (19/100) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Sun 04:33 UTC · kick-off 20:15 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.76 v 0.68

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.567%
    • Over 3.545%
    • Over 4.526%
    Both teams to score46%
    Benfica clean sheet51%
    Alverca clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Alverca by 21%
    Alverca by 15%
    Draw12%
    Benfica by 121%
    Benfica by 222%
    Benfica by 3+39%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 9%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 4–0 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sat 31 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 31 Oct
    Porto v Estoril
    4–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Porto or EstorilDouble chance
    86%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Porto or Estoril to win
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.50 v 0.62

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.582%
    • Over 2.560%
    • Over 3.538%
    • Over 4.521%
    Both teams to score42%
    Porto clean sheet54%
    Estoril clean sheet8%
    Winning margin
    Estoril by 21%
    Estoril by 16%
    Draw14%
    Porto by 122%
    Porto by 222%
    Porto by 3+34%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 14%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 4–0 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Fri 30 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Fri 30 Oct
    Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon
    0–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Lisbon to winMatch result
    80%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Lisbon to win
    Published price1.30 (3/10) at Coral · next best 1.29 (29/100) at 888sportquoted Thu 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:15 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.66 v 2.66

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.584%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.542%
    • Over 4.524%
    Both teams to score45%
    Casa Pia clean sheet7%
    Sp Lisbon clean sheet52%
    Winning margin
    Sp Lisbon by 3+37%
    Sp Lisbon by 222%
    Sp Lisbon by 121%
    Draw13%
    Casa Pia by 15%
    Casa Pia by 21%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–2 · 13%
    • 0–3 · 11%
    • 0–1 · 10%
    • 1–2 · 8%
    • 0–4 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sun 25 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sun 25 Oct
    Sp Lisbon v Académico de Viseu
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Lisbon or Académico de ViseuDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Lisbon or Académico de Viseu to win
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Sat 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.37 v 0.90

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.583%
    • Over 2.563%
    • Over 3.541%
    • Over 4.523%
    Both teams to score53%
    Sp Lisbon clean sheet41%
    Académico de Viseu clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Académico de Viseu by 3+1%
    Académico de Viseu by 23%
    Académico de Viseu by 19%
    Draw17%
    Sp Lisbon by 123%
    Sp Lisbon by 221%
    Sp Lisbon by 3+27%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 1–2 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Primeira Liga · Sun 25 Oct
    Nacional v Sp Braga
    1–0✗
    Our call · missed
    Sp Braga or drawDouble chance
    80%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or Sp Braga to win
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Sat 04:31 UTC · kick-off 18:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.95 v 1.82

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.576%
    • Over 2.552%
    • Over 3.530%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score51%
    Nacional clean sheet16%
    Sp Braga clean sheet39%
    Winning margin
    Sp Braga by 3+16%
    Sp Braga by 218%
    Sp Braga by 125%
    Draw22%
    Nacional by 113%
    Nacional by 25%
    Nacional by 3+2%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 12%
    • 1–1 · 10%
    • 0–2 · 10%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sat 24 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 24 Oct
    Gil Vicente v Porto
    0–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Porto or drawDouble chance
    85%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or Porto to win
    Published price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.05 (1/20) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.66 v 1.60

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.590%
    • Over 1.566%
    • Over 2.539%
    • Over 3.519%
    • Over 4.58%
    Both teams to score38%
    Gil Vicente clean sheet20%
    Porto clean sheet52%
    Winning margin
    Porto by 3+14%
    Porto by 219%
    Porto by 128%
    Draw24%
    Gil Vicente by 112%
    Gil Vicente by 23%
    Gil Vicente by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 17%
    • 0–2 · 13%
    • 1–1 · 11%
    • 0–0 · 10%
    • 1–2 · 9%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Mon 19 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Mon 19 Oct
    Sp Braga v Gil Vicente
    1–2✗
    Our call · missed
    Sp Braga or drawDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Braga to win or the draw
    Published price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Sun 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:15 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.71 v 0.83

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.592%
    • Over 1.572%
    • Over 2.547%
    • Over 3.525%
    • Over 4.511%
    Both teams to score47%
    Sp Braga clean sheet43%
    Gil Vicente clean sheet18%
    Winning margin
    Gil Vicente by 3+1%
    Gil Vicente by 24%
    Gil Vicente by 112%
    Draw24%
    Sp Braga by 126%
    Sp Braga by 218%
    Sp Braga by 3+14%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–0 · 14%
    • 1–1 · 11%
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 0–0 · 8%
    • 1–2 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Sun 11 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sun 11 Oct
    Benfica v Guimaraes
    2–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Benfica or GuimaraesDouble chance
    85%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Benfica or Guimaraes to win
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Sat 10:55 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC

Sat 10 Oct

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 10 Oct
    Maritimo v Porto
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Maritimo or PortoDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Maritimo or Porto to win
    Published price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 11:37 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC

Sun 20 Sep

  1. Primeira Liga · Sun 20 Sep
    Guimaraes v Moreirense
    1–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Guimaraes or drawDouble chance
    82%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Guimaraes to win or the draw
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Sat 05:07 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC

Sat 19 Sep

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 19 Sep
    Sp Lisbon v Arouca
    2–2✗
    Our call · missed
    Sp Lisbon to winMatch result
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Lisbon to win
    Published price1.22 (11/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.22 (11/50) at Coralquoted Fri 05:08 UTC · kick-off 19:30 UTC

Mon 14 Sep

  1. Primeira Liga · Mon 14 Sep
    Sp Braga v Estoril
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Braga (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    82%rated to land, by our model
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Sun 05:07 UTC · kick-off 19:45 UTC

Sun 13 Sep

  1. Primeira Liga · Sun 13 Sep
    Famalicao v Sp Lisbon
    1–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Lisbon or drawDouble chance
    82%rated to land, by our model
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Sat 05:07 UTC · kick-off 19:30 UTC

Sat 12 Sep

  1. Primeira Liga · Sat 12 Sep
    Casa Pia v Porto
    1–4✓
    Our call · landed
    Casa Pia or PortoDouble chance
    82%rated to land, by our model
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 05:07 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC

Settled live calls only, as the record counts them: each rated 80% or better before kick-off, at the price a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting, graded on the result. Nothing still to play is listed. Every call is on the results page, losers included. All results →