Kestra · Results

The record.

Calls rated 80% or better - by our model for league fixtures, by a market-led rating for tournaments - that a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting at 1.10 (1/10) or longer. One per fixture, with the price. Live calls, from 10 Sep 2026, are published before kick-off; the record before them is the same rules run walk-forward on archived closing prices from May 2023, and every card says which. Every call and every loser stays on the ledger.

85% landed (84–86%) across 4,260 decided calls · 3,848 walk-forward on archived closing prices since May 2023, 412 live since 10 Sep 2026 · live alone 83% (80–87%)

Every settled call, losers included · the rules, and how we count →

By day → · By league →

85%Calls landedlikely range 84–86%
4,260Calls counted3,848 walk-forward · 412 live · 320 void
26Leagues & cupswith a result
The record, call by call

Longest winning streak · 21 live calls in a row

Current winning streak · none · the latest call lost

Last 150 live calls, oldest to newestlandedlostvoid

The strike rate, call by call.

Each point: every decided call to that point · voids left out

75%80%85%90%95%CALL 50CALL 2,155CALL 4,260walk-forward · archived closing priceslive from 10 Sep 202685%
The ledger

Every call. Losers included.

Newest first · 4,580 calls · 431 live, each at the price quoted when we published · 4,149 walk-forward, each at its archived closing price

Live calls appear here the day after their fixture; subscribers see them before kick-off on Upcoming fixtures. Walk-forward calls, labelled on each card, were worked out afterwards on archived closing prices and never published before kick-off.

Had any of these? Tap “+ I had this” on each one: the tray at the bottom of the screen estimates what they returned on one ticket.

Sat 7 Nov

  1. MLS · Sat 7 Nov
    Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC
    4–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Philadelphia Union (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    82%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Philadelphia Union to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 21:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.31 v 1.01

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.542%
    • Over 4.524%
    Both teams to score58%
    Philadelphia Union clean sheet36%
    Toronto FC clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Toronto FC by 3+1%
    Toronto FC by 24%
    Toronto FC by 110%
    Draw19%
    Philadelphia Union by 122%
    Philadelphia Union by 220%
    Philadelphia Union by 3+24%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 9%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 7%
    • 4–1 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. MLS · Sat 7 Nov
    CF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps
    0–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Vancouver Whitecaps or drawDouble chance
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or Vancouver Whitecaps to win
    Published price1.20 (1/5) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 21:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.00 v 1.88

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.579%
    • Over 2.555%
    • Over 3.533%
    • Over 4.517%
    Both teams to score54%
    CF Montreal clean sheet15%
    Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet37%
    Winning margin
    Vancouver Whitecaps by 3+16%
    Vancouver Whitecaps by 218%
    Vancouver Whitecaps by 124%
    Draw23%
    CF Montreal by 112%
    CF Montreal by 25%
    CF Montreal by 3+2%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–1 · 11%
    • 0–1 · 10%
    • 0–2 · 10%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 0–3 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. Primeira Liga · Sat 7 Nov
    Sp Lisbon v Moreirense
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Sp Lisbon to winMatch result
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Sp Lisbon to win
    Published price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.17 (17/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.83 v 0.70

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.586%
    • Over 2.569%
    • Over 3.547%
    • Over 4.528%
    Both teams to score47%
    Sp Lisbon clean sheet50%
    Moreirense clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Moreirense by 21%
    Moreirense by 15%
    Draw12%
    Sp Lisbon by 120%
    Sp Lisbon by 221%
    Sp Lisbon by 3+40%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 4–0 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov
    Paris SG v Troyes
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Paris SG to winMatch result
    87%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Paris SG to win
    Published price1.12 (3/25) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at 888sportquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:05 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 3.35 v 0.56

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.590%
    • Over 2.575%
    • Over 3.555%
    • Over 4.536%
    Both teams to score40%
    Paris SG clean sheet58%
    Troyes clean sheet4%
    Winning margin
    Troyes by 21%
    Troyes by 14%
    Draw9%
    Paris SG by 114%
    Paris SG by 219%
    Paris SG by 3+54%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 3–0 · 13%
    • 4–0 · 11%
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 5–0 · 7%
    • 3–1 · 7%
    • 1–0 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  5. Scottish Prem · Sat 7 Nov
    St Mirren v Rangers
    0–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Rangers (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Rangers to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.82 v 1.94

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.576%
    • Over 2.552%
    • Over 3.530%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score48%
    St Mirren clean sheet14%
    Rangers clean sheet44%
    Winning margin
    Rangers by 3+18%
    Rangers by 220%
    Rangers by 126%
    Draw20%
    St Mirren by 110%
    St Mirren by 24%
    St Mirren by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 13%
    • 0–2 · 12%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 10%
    • 0–3 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  6. La Liga · Sat 7 Nov
    Valencia v Real Madrid
    0–3✓
    Our call · landed
    Real Madrid (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Real Madrid to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.11 (11/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.08 (2/25) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.79 v 1.95

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.576%
    • Over 2.551%
    • Over 3.529%
    • Over 4.514%
    Both teams to score47%
    Valencia clean sheet13%
    Real Madrid clean sheet45%
    Winning margin
    Real Madrid by 3+18%
    Real Madrid by 221%
    Real Madrid by 127%
    Draw19%
    Valencia by 19%
    Valencia by 23%
    Valencia by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 14%
    • 0–2 · 13%
    • 1–2 · 11%
    • 1–1 · 9%
    • 0–3 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  7. Serie A · Sat 7 Nov
    Roma v Sassuolo
    3–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Roma (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    86%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Roma to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.13 (13/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Coralquoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:45 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.38 v 0.89

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.584%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.541%
    • Over 4.523%
    Both teams to score54%
    Roma clean sheet41%
    Sassuolo clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Sassuolo by 3+1%
    Sassuolo by 23%
    Sassuolo by 18%
    Draw17%
    Roma by 123%
    Roma by 221%
    Roma by 3+27%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  8. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov
    Stuttgart v Werder Bremen
    1–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Stuttgart or drawDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Stuttgart to win or the draw
    Published price1.26 (13/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.20 (1/5) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 17:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.32 v 1.16

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.587%
    • Over 2.568%
    • Over 3.546%
    • Over 4.527%
    Both teams to score62%
    Stuttgart clean sheet32%
    Werder Bremen clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Werder Bremen by 3+2%
    Werder Bremen by 25%
    Werder Bremen by 111%
    Draw19%
    Stuttgart by 122%
    Stuttgart by 219%
    Stuttgart by 3+22%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 2–0 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 1–0 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  9. Premier League · Sat 7 Nov
    Nott'm Forest v Man City
    3–1✗
    Our call · missed
    Man City or drawDouble chance
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or Man City to win
    Published price1.24 (6/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.22 (11/50) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 17:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.96 v 1.82

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.593%
    • Over 1.577%
    • Over 2.553%
    • Over 3.530%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score53%
    Nott'm Forest clean sheet16%
    Man City clean sheet38%
    Winning margin
    Man City by 3+15%
    Man City by 218%
    Man City by 124%
    Draw24%
    Nott'm Forest by 112%
    Nott'm Forest by 25%
    Nott'm Forest by 3+2%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–1 · 12%
    • 0–1 · 10%
    • 0–2 · 10%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 0–0 · 7%
    • 3–1 · 2%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  10. Eliteserien · Sat 7 Nov
    Rosenborg v Start
    4–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Rosenborg or StartDouble chance
    87%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Rosenborg or Start to win
    Published price1.11 (11/100) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.85 v 0.83

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.588%
    • Over 2.571%
    • Over 3.550%
    • Over 4.531%
    Both teams to score53%
    Rosenborg clean sheet44%
    Start clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    Start by 22%
    Start by 16%
    Draw13%
    Rosenborg by 120%
    Rosenborg by 221%
    Rosenborg by 3+38%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 1–0 · 7%
    • 4–1 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  11. Allsvenskan · Sat 7 Nov
    Degerfors v GAIS
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    GAIS or drawDouble chance
    82%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or GAIS to win
    Published price1.40 (2/5) at William Hill · next best 1.29 (29/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 16:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 0.71 v 1.43

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.588%
    • Over 1.563%
    • Over 2.536%
    • Over 3.517%
    • Over 4.57%
    Both teams to score39%
    Degerfors clean sheet24%
    GAIS clean sheet49%
    Winning margin
    GAIS by 3+11%
    GAIS by 217%
    GAIS by 127%
    Draw28%
    Degerfors by 113%
    Degerfors by 24%
    Degerfors by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 17%
    • 1–1 · 12%
    • 0–2 · 12%
    • 0–0 · 12%
    • 1–2 · 9%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  12. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov
    Dortmund v Elversberg
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Dortmund (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    86%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Dortmund to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.13 (13/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.91 v 1.17

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.592%
    • Over 2.577%
    • Over 3.558%
    • Over 4.539%
    Both teams to score66%
    Dortmund clean sheet31%
    Elversberg clean sheet5%
    Winning margin
    Elversberg by 3+1%
    Elversberg by 23%
    Elversberg by 17%
    Draw15%
    Dortmund by 120%
    Dortmund by 220%
    Dortmund by 3+34%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 2–0 · 7%
    • 3–0 · 7%
    • 1–1 · 6%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  13. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov
    Mainz v Bayern Munich
    1–2✓
    Our call · landed
    Bayern Munich (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Bayern Munich to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.16 (4/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.18 v 2.72

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.598%
    • Over 1.590%
    • Over 2.575%
    • Over 3.555%
    • Over 4.535%
    Both teams to score65%
    Mainz clean sheet7%
    Bayern Munich clean sheet31%
    Winning margin
    Bayern Munich by 3+30%
    Bayern Munich by 220%
    Bayern Munich by 121%
    Draw16%
    Mainz by 19%
    Mainz by 24%
    Mainz by 3+2%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–2 · 9%
    • 1–3 · 8%
    • 0–2 · 8%
    • 0–3 · 7%
    • 1–1 · 7%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  14. Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov
    RB Leipzig v Augsburg
    5–2✓
    Our call · landed
    RB Leipzig or drawDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers RB Leipzig to win or the draw
    Published price1.18 (9/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.15 (3/20) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.30 v 1.06

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.585%
    • Over 2.565%
    • Over 3.543%
    • Over 4.525%
    Both teams to score59%
    RB Leipzig clean sheet35%
    Augsburg clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    Augsburg by 3+2%
    Augsburg by 24%
    Augsburg by 111%
    Draw18%
    RB Leipzig by 122%
    RB Leipzig by 220%
    RB Leipzig by 3+23%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 2–0 · 9%
    • 1–1 · 8%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 7%
    • 5–2 · 1%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Fri 6 Nov

  1. Premier League · Fri 6 Nov
    Everton v Coventry
    3–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Everton or drawDouble chance
    83%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Everton to win or the draw
    Published price1.23 (23/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.18 (9/50) at William Hillquoted Thu 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.47 v 0.70

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.588%
    • Over 1.565%
    • Over 2.537%
    • Over 3.518%
    • Over 4.57%
    Both teams to score40%
    Everton clean sheet50%
    Coventry clean sheet23%
    Winning margin
    Coventry by 3+1%
    Coventry by 24%
    Coventry by 112%
    Draw28%
    Everton by 126%
    Everton by 217%
    Everton by 3+12%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–0 · 16%
    • 1–1 · 13%
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 0–0 · 12%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 4%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Allsvenskan · Fri 6 Nov
    Hammarby v Elfsborg
    4–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Hammarby or drawDouble chance
    81%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Hammarby to win or the draw
    Published price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.07 (7/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Thu 04:34 UTC · kick-off 18:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 1.81 v 0.94

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.593%
    • Over 1.576%
    • Over 2.552%
    • Over 3.530%
    • Over 4.515%
    Both teams to score51%
    Hammarby clean sheet39%
    Elfsborg clean sheet16%
    Winning margin
    Elfsborg by 3+2%
    Elfsborg by 25%
    Elfsborg by 113%
    Draw23%
    Hammarby by 124%
    Hammarby by 218%
    Hammarby by 3+15%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 1–0 · 11%
    • 1–1 · 11%
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 0–0 · 7%
    • 4–1 · 3%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Thu 5 Nov

  1. Brasileirão Série A · Thu 5 Nov
    Palmeiras v Remo
    6–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Palmeiras or RemoDouble chance
    85%rated to land, by our model
    How we saw the match
    covers Palmeiras or Remo to win
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.12 (3/25) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:33 UTC · kick-off 22:30 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals 2.40 v 0.55

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.580%
    • Over 2.557%
    • Over 3.534%
    • Over 4.518%
    Both teams to score39%
    Palmeiras clean sheet57%
    Remo clean sheet9%
    Winning margin
    Remo by 21%
    Remo by 15%
    Draw15%
    Palmeiras by 123%
    Palmeiras by 223%
    Palmeiras by 3+33%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 15%
    • 1–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 12%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 7%
    • 6–1 · 1%

    Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  2. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    FC Lugano v FK Kauno Žalgiris
    3–0✓
    Our call · landed
    FC Lugano or FK Kauno ŽalgirisDouble chance
    87%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers FC Lugano or FK Kauno Žalgiris to win
    Published price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.94 v 0.87

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.590%
    • Over 2.573%
    • Over 3.553%
    • Over 4.533%
    Both teams to score55%
    FC Lugano clean sheet42%
    FK Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet5%
    Winning margin
    FK Kauno Žalgiris by 3+1%
    FK Kauno Žalgiris by 22%
    FK Kauno Žalgiris by 15%
    Draw13%
    FC Lugano by 119%
    FC Lugano by 221%
    FC Lugano by 3+39%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 9%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 4–0 · 7%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  3. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    AS Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland
    2–0✓
    Our call · landed
    AS Monaco (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    82%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers AS Monaco to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.28 v 0.99

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.584%
    • Over 2.564%
    • Over 3.541%
    • Over 4.523%
    Both teams to score57%
    AS Monaco clean sheet37%
    FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet10%
    Winning margin
    FC Nordsjaelland by 3+1%
    FC Nordsjaelland by 24%
    FC Nordsjaelland by 110%
    Draw19%
    AS Monaco by 122%
    AS Monaco by 220%
    AS Monaco by 3+24%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 9%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 3–0 · 7%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  4. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    FC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 1999
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    FC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999Double chance
    87%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers FC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999 to win
    Published price1.10 (1/10) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.79 v 0.72

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.597%
    • Over 1.587%
    • Over 2.568%
    • Over 3.547%
    • Over 4.528%
    Both teams to score49%
    FC Copenhagen clean sheet49%
    FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet6%
    Winning margin
    FC Iberia 1999 by 21%
    FC Iberia 1999 by 15%
    Draw13%
    FC Copenhagen by 120%
    FC Copenhagen by 222%
    FC Copenhagen by 3+39%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 3–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 8%
    • 1–0 · 8%
    • 3–1 · 8%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  5. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    Getafe v Brighton and Hove Albion
    0–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Brighton and Hove Albion or drawDouble chance
    84%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers the draw or Brighton and Hove Albion to win
    Published price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.81 v 1.79

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.592%
    • Over 1.574%
    • Over 2.548%
    • Over 3.526%
    • Over 4.512%
    Both teams to score47%
    Getafe clean sheet17%
    Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet44%
    Winning margin
    Brighton and Hove Albion by 3+16%
    Brighton and Hove Albion by 219%
    Brighton and Hove Albion by 125%
    Draw24%
    Getafe by 111%
    Getafe by 24%
    Getafe by 3+1%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 0–1 · 13%
    • 0–2 · 12%
    • 1–1 · 11%
    • 1–2 · 10%
    • 0–0 · 8%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  6. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    Panathinaikos FC v PFC CSKA Sofia
    2–1✓
    Our call · landed
    Panathinaikos FC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    81%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers Panathinaikos FC to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.17 (17/100) at Coral · next best 1.16 (4/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.10 v 0.93

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.581%
    • Over 2.558%
    • Over 3.536%
    • Over 4.519%
    Both teams to score54%
    Panathinaikos FC clean sheet39%
    PFC CSKA Sofia clean sheet12%
    Winning margin
    PFC CSKA Sofia by 3+1%
    PFC CSKA Sofia by 24%
    PFC CSKA Sofia by 110%
    Draw21%
    Panathinaikos FC by 123%
    Panathinaikos FC by 219%
    Panathinaikos FC by 3+21%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 1–1 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 7%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  7. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    FC Twente Enschede v Pafos FC
    3–1✓
    Our call · landed
    FC Twente Enschede (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    86%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers FC Twente Enschede to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.10 (1/10) at Coral · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.52 v 0.92

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.596%
    • Over 1.586%
    • Over 2.567%
    • Over 3.545%
    • Over 4.526%
    Both teams to score56%
    FC Twente Enschede clean sheet40%
    Pafos FC clean sheet8%
    Winning margin
    Pafos FC by 3+1%
    Pafos FC by 23%
    Pafos FC by 18%
    Draw17%
    FC Twente Enschede by 121%
    FC Twente Enschede by 221%
    FC Twente Enschede by 3+30%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 9%
    • 3–0 · 9%
    • 3–1 · 8%
    • 1–1 · 8%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  8. Conference League · Thu 5 Nov
    Universitatea Craiova v KF Egnatia
    2–0✓
    Our call · landed
    Universitatea Craiova (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    82%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers Universitatea Craiova to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.03 v 0.83

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.594%
    • Over 1.578%
    • Over 2.555%
    • Over 3.532%
    • Over 4.516%
    Both teams to score49%
    Universitatea Craiova clean sheet44%
    KF Egnatia clean sheet13%
    Winning margin
    KF Egnatia by 3+1%
    KF Egnatia by 23%
    KF Egnatia by 110%
    Draw21%
    Universitatea Craiova by 124%
    Universitatea Craiova by 220%
    Universitatea Craiova by 3+21%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 12%
    • 1–0 · 11%
    • 1–1 · 10%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 8%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

  9. Europa League · Thu 5 Nov
    Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb
    0–2✗
    Our call · missed
    Sunderland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw
    82%market consensus
    How we saw the match
    covers Sunderland to win · a draw voids it
    Published price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
    Match map ↓
    Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.12 v 0.91

    Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.

    Total goals
    • Over 0.595%
    • Over 1.581%
    • Over 2.559%
    • Over 3.536%
    • Over 4.519%
    Both teams to score53%
    Sunderland clean sheet40%
    Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet12%
    Winning margin
    Dinamo Zagreb by 3+1%
    Dinamo Zagreb by 24%
    Dinamo Zagreb by 110%
    Draw21%
    Sunderland by 123%
    Sunderland by 220%
    Sunderland by 3+22%
    Most likely scorelines
    • 2–0 · 11%
    • 2–1 · 10%
    • 1–1 · 10%
    • 1–0 · 10%
    • 3–0 · 8%
    • 0–2 · 2%

    Total goals follow the shape, not the market.

    The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.

Showing 25 of 4,580 calls