The record.
Calls rated 80% or better - by our model for league fixtures, by a market-led rating for tournaments - that a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting at 1.10 (1/10) or longer. One per fixture, with the price. Live calls, from 10 Sep 2026, are published before kick-off; the record before them is the same rules run walk-forward on archived closing prices from May 2023, and every card says which. Every call and every loser stays on the ledger.
85% landed (84–86%) across 4,260 decided calls · 3,848 walk-forward on archived closing prices since May 2023, 412 live since 10 Sep 2026 · live alone 83% (80–87%)
Every settled call, losers included · the rules, and how we count →
Longest winning streak · 21 live calls in a row
Current winning streak · none · the latest call lost
Last 150 live calls, oldest to newestlandedlostvoid
The strike rate, call by call.
Each point: every decided call to that point · voids left out
A separate record, graded
Priced at fair odds, not a UK bookmaker's quote · not Strike calls · none is on the ledger or in its strike rate
82 / 101 match calls · 81%
Each card is a match we priced before kickoff - the score, our call, and whether we got it right. Nothing hidden.
- 2026-07-19 · 19:05ZSpain vs Argentina1–0✓43% / 28% / 29%Match: Spain or Draw(double chance)Goals: Under 2.5✓
- 2026-07-18 · 21:00ZFrance vs England4–6✗50% / 23% / 27%Match: France or Draw(double chance)Goals: Over 2.5✓
- 2026-07-15 · 19:00ZEngland vs Argentina1–2✗36% / 30% / 34%Match: England or Draw(double chance)Goals: Under 2.5✗
- 2026-07-14 · 19:00ZFrance vs Spain0–2✗39% / 28% / 33%Match: France or Draw(double chance)Goals: Under 2.5✓
- 2026-07-12 · 01:00ZArgentina vs Switzerland3–1✓58% / 24% / 17%Match: Argentina or Draw(double chance)Goals: Under 2.5✗
- 2026-07-11 · 21:01ZNorway vs England1–2✓24% / 23% / 53%Match: Draw or England(double chance)Goals: Over 2.5✓
Every call. Losers included.
Newest first · 4,580 calls · 431 live, each at the price quoted when we published · 4,149 walk-forward, each at its archived closing price
Live calls appear here the day after their fixture; subscribers see them before kick-off on Upcoming fixtures. Walk-forward calls, labelled on each card, were worked out afterwards on archived closing prices and never published before kick-off.
Had any of these? Tap “+ I had this” on each one: the tray at the bottom of the screen estimates what they returned on one ticket.
Sat 7 Nov
- MLS · Sat 7 NovPhiladelphia Union v Toronto FC4–1✓Our call · landedPhiladelphia Union (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Philadelphia Union to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 21:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.31 v 1.01Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.542%
- Over 4.524%
Both teams to score58%Philadelphia Union clean sheet36%Toronto FC clean sheet10%Winning marginToronto FC by 3+1%Toronto FC by 24%Toronto FC by 110%Draw19%Philadelphia Union by 122%Philadelphia Union by 220%Philadelphia Union by 3+24%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 4–1 · 4%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- MLS · Sat 7 NovCF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps0–2✓Our call · landedVancouver Whitecaps or drawDouble chance81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Vancouver Whitecaps to winPublished price1.20 (1/5) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 21:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 1.00 v 1.88Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.579%
- Over 2.555%
- Over 3.533%
- Over 4.517%
Both teams to score54%CF Montreal clean sheet15%Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet37%Winning marginVancouver Whitecaps by 3+16%Vancouver Whitecaps by 218%Vancouver Whitecaps by 124%Draw23%CF Montreal by 112%CF Montreal by 25%CF Montreal by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 0–1 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–3 · 6%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Primeira Liga · Sat 7 NovSp Lisbon v Moreirense1–0✓Our call · landedSp Lisbon to winMatch result81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Sp Lisbon to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.17 (17/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission)quoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 20:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.83 v 0.70Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.569%
- Over 3.547%
- Over 4.528%
Both teams to score47%Sp Lisbon clean sheet50%Moreirense clean sheet6%Winning marginMoreirense by 21%Moreirense by 15%Draw12%Sp Lisbon by 120%Sp Lisbon by 221%Sp Lisbon by 3+40%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 11%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 8%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Ligue 1 · Sat 7 NovParis SG v Troyes1–0✓Our call · landedParis SG to winMatch result87%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Paris SG to winPublished price1.12 (3/25) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at 888sportquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:05 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 3.35 v 0.56Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.575%
- Over 3.555%
- Over 4.536%
Both teams to score40%Paris SG clean sheet58%Troyes clean sheet4%Winning marginTroyes by 21%Troyes by 14%Draw9%Paris SG by 114%Paris SG by 219%Paris SG by 3+54%Most likely scorelines- 3–0 · 13%
- 4–0 · 11%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 5–0 · 7%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 1–0 · 6%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Scottish Prem · Sat 7 NovSt Mirren v Rangers0–2✓Our call · landedRangers (DNB)DNB · void on a draw81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Rangers to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 0.82 v 1.94Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.576%
- Over 2.552%
- Over 3.530%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score48%St Mirren clean sheet14%Rangers clean sheet44%Winning marginRangers by 3+18%Rangers by 220%Rangers by 126%Draw20%St Mirren by 110%St Mirren by 24%St Mirren by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–1 · 13%
- 0–2 · 12%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–3 · 7%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- La Liga · Sat 7 NovValencia v Real Madrid0–3✓Our call · landedReal Madrid (DNB)DNB · void on a draw83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Real Madrid to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.11 (11/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.08 (2/25) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 0.79 v 1.95Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.576%
- Over 2.551%
- Over 3.529%
- Over 4.514%
Both teams to score47%Valencia clean sheet13%Real Madrid clean sheet45%Winning marginReal Madrid by 3+18%Real Madrid by 221%Real Madrid by 127%Draw19%Valencia by 19%Valencia by 23%Valencia by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–1 · 14%
- 0–2 · 13%
- 1–2 · 11%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 8%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Serie A · Sat 7 NovRoma v Sassuolo3–0✓Our call · landedRoma (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Roma to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.13 (13/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Coralquoted Fri 04:32 UTC · kick-off 19:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.38 v 0.89Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.541%
- Over 4.523%
Both teams to score54%Roma clean sheet41%Sassuolo clean sheet9%Winning marginSassuolo by 3+1%Sassuolo by 23%Sassuolo by 18%Draw17%Roma by 123%Roma by 221%Roma by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 1–1 · 8%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovStuttgart v Werder Bremen1–0✓Our call · landedStuttgart or drawDouble chance83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Stuttgart to win or the drawPublished price1.26 (13/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.20 (1/5) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 17:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.32 v 1.16Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.587%
- Over 2.568%
- Over 3.546%
- Over 4.527%
Both teams to score62%Stuttgart clean sheet32%Werder Bremen clean sheet10%Winning marginWerder Bremen by 3+2%Werder Bremen by 25%Werder Bremen by 111%Draw19%Stuttgart by 122%Stuttgart by 219%Stuttgart by 3+22%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 7%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Premier League · Sat 7 NovNott'm Forest v Man City3–1✗Our call · missedMan City or drawDouble chance81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Man City to winPublished price1.24 (6/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.22 (11/50) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 17:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 0.96 v 1.82Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.577%
- Over 2.553%
- Over 3.530%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score53%Nott'm Forest clean sheet16%Man City clean sheet38%Winning marginMan City by 3+15%Man City by 218%Man City by 124%Draw24%Nott'm Forest by 112%Nott'm Forest by 25%Nott'm Forest by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 12%
- 0–1 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
- 3–1 · 2%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Eliteserien · Sat 7 NovRosenborg v Start4–1✓Our call · landedRosenborg or StartDouble chance87%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Rosenborg or Start to winPublished price1.11 (11/100) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 17:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.85 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.588%
- Over 2.571%
- Over 3.550%
- Over 4.531%
Both teams to score53%Rosenborg clean sheet44%Start clean sheet6%Winning marginStart by 22%Start by 16%Draw13%Rosenborg by 120%Rosenborg by 221%Rosenborg by 3+38%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 7%
- 4–1 · 6%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Allsvenskan · Sat 7 NovDegerfors v GAIS1–2✓Our call · landedGAIS or drawDouble chance82%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or GAIS to winPublished price1.40 (2/5) at William Hill · next best 1.29 (29/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Fri 04:33 UTC · kick-off 16:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 0.71 v 1.43Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.588%
- Over 1.563%
- Over 2.536%
- Over 3.517%
- Over 4.57%
Both teams to score39%Degerfors clean sheet24%GAIS clean sheet49%Winning marginGAIS by 3+11%GAIS by 217%GAIS by 127%Draw28%Degerfors by 113%Degerfors by 24%Degerfors by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–1 · 17%
- 1–1 · 12%
- 0–2 · 12%
- 0–0 · 12%
- 1–2 · 9%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovDortmund v Elversberg2–1✓Our call · landedDortmund (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Dortmund to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.13 (13/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.91 v 1.17Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.592%
- Over 2.577%
- Over 3.558%
- Over 4.539%
Both teams to score66%Dortmund clean sheet31%Elversberg clean sheet5%Winning marginElversberg by 3+1%Elversberg by 23%Elversberg by 17%Draw15%Dortmund by 120%Dortmund by 220%Dortmund by 3+34%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 2–0 · 7%
- 3–0 · 7%
- 1–1 · 6%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovMainz v Bayern Munich1–2✓Our call · landedBayern Munich (DNB)DNB · void on a draw83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Bayern Munich to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.16 (4/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Coralquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 1.18 v 2.72Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.575%
- Over 3.555%
- Over 4.535%
Both teams to score65%Mainz clean sheet7%Bayern Munich clean sheet31%Winning marginBayern Munich by 3+30%Bayern Munich by 220%Bayern Munich by 121%Draw16%Mainz by 19%Mainz by 24%Mainz by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–2 · 9%
- 1–3 · 8%
- 0–2 · 8%
- 0–3 · 7%
- 1–1 · 7%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Bundesliga · Sat 7 NovRB Leipzig v Augsburg5–2✓Our call · landedRB Leipzig or drawDouble chance83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers RB Leipzig to win or the drawPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.15 (3/20) at William Hillquoted Fri 04:31 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.30 v 1.06Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.565%
- Over 3.543%
- Over 4.525%
Both teams to score59%RB Leipzig clean sheet35%Augsburg clean sheet10%Winning marginAugsburg by 3+2%Augsburg by 24%Augsburg by 111%Draw18%RB Leipzig by 122%RB Leipzig by 220%RB Leipzig by 3+23%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 5–2 · 1%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Fri 6 Nov
- Premier League · Fri 6 NovEverton v Coventry3–1✓Our call · landedEverton or drawDouble chance83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Everton to win or the drawPublished price1.23 (23/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.18 (9/50) at William Hillquoted Thu 04:31 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 1.47 v 0.70Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.588%
- Over 1.565%
- Over 2.537%
- Over 3.518%
- Over 4.57%
Both teams to score40%Everton clean sheet50%Coventry clean sheet23%Winning marginCoventry by 3+1%Coventry by 24%Coventry by 112%Draw28%Everton by 126%Everton by 217%Everton by 3+12%Most likely scorelines- 1–0 · 16%
- 1–1 · 13%
- 2–0 · 12%
- 0–0 · 12%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–1 · 4%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Allsvenskan · Fri 6 NovHammarby v Elfsborg4–1✓Our call · landedHammarby or drawDouble chance81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Hammarby to win or the drawPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.07 (7/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Thu 04:34 UTC · kick-off 18:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 1.81 v 0.94Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.576%
- Over 2.552%
- Over 3.530%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score51%Hammarby clean sheet39%Elfsborg clean sheet16%Winning marginElfsborg by 3+2%Elfsborg by 25%Elfsborg by 113%Draw23%Hammarby by 124%Hammarby by 218%Hammarby by 3+15%Most likely scorelines- 1–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 11%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
- 4–1 · 3%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Thu 5 Nov
- Brasileirão Série A · Thu 5 NovPalmeiras v Remo6–1✓Our call · landedPalmeiras or RemoDouble chance85%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Palmeiras or Remo to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.12 (3/25) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:33 UTC · kick-off 22:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.40 v 0.55Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.580%
- Over 2.557%
- Over 3.534%
- Over 4.518%
Both teams to score39%Palmeiras clean sheet57%Remo clean sheet9%Winning marginRemo by 21%Remo by 15%Draw15%Palmeiras by 123%Palmeiras by 223%Palmeiras by 3+33%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 15%
- 1–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 12%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 1–1 · 7%
- 6–1 · 1%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Lugano v FK Kauno Žalgiris3–0✓Our call · landedFC Lugano or FK Kauno ŽalgirisDouble chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Lugano or FK Kauno Žalgiris to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.94 v 0.87Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.573%
- Over 3.553%
- Over 4.533%
Both teams to score55%FC Lugano clean sheet42%FK Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet5%Winning marginFK Kauno Žalgiris by 3+1%FK Kauno Žalgiris by 22%FK Kauno Žalgiris by 15%Draw13%FC Lugano by 119%FC Lugano by 221%FC Lugano by 3+39%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovAS Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland2–0✓Our call · landedAS Monaco (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AS Monaco to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.28 v 0.99Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.541%
- Over 4.523%
Both teams to score57%AS Monaco clean sheet37%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet10%Winning marginFC Nordsjaelland by 3+1%FC Nordsjaelland by 24%FC Nordsjaelland by 110%Draw19%AS Monaco by 122%AS Monaco by 220%AS Monaco by 3+24%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 19992–1✓Our call · landedFC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999Double chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999 to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.79 v 0.72Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.587%
- Over 2.568%
- Over 3.547%
- Over 4.528%
Both teams to score49%FC Copenhagen clean sheet49%FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet6%Winning marginFC Iberia 1999 by 21%FC Iberia 1999 by 15%Draw13%FC Copenhagen by 120%FC Copenhagen by 222%FC Copenhagen by 3+39%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovGetafe v Brighton and Hove Albion0–1✓Our call · landedBrighton and Hove Albion or drawDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Brighton and Hove Albion to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.81 v 1.79Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.592%
- Over 1.574%
- Over 2.548%
- Over 3.526%
- Over 4.512%
Both teams to score47%Getafe clean sheet17%Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet44%Winning marginBrighton and Hove Albion by 3+16%Brighton and Hove Albion by 219%Brighton and Hove Albion by 125%Draw24%Getafe by 111%Getafe by 24%Getafe by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–1 · 13%
- 0–2 · 12%
- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovPanathinaikos FC v PFC CSKA Sofia2–1✓Our call · landedPanathinaikos FC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Panathinaikos FC to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.17 (17/100) at Coral · next best 1.16 (4/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.10 v 0.93Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.558%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score54%Panathinaikos FC clean sheet39%PFC CSKA Sofia clean sheet12%Winning marginPFC CSKA Sofia by 3+1%PFC CSKA Sofia by 24%PFC CSKA Sofia by 110%Draw21%Panathinaikos FC by 123%Panathinaikos FC by 219%Panathinaikos FC by 3+21%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Twente Enschede v Pafos FC3–1✓Our call · landedFC Twente Enschede (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Twente Enschede to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.10 (1/10) at Coral · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.52 v 0.92Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.567%
- Over 3.545%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score56%FC Twente Enschede clean sheet40%Pafos FC clean sheet8%Winning marginPafos FC by 3+1%Pafos FC by 23%Pafos FC by 18%Draw17%FC Twente Enschede by 121%FC Twente Enschede by 221%FC Twente Enschede by 3+30%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovUniversitatea Craiova v KF Egnatia2–0✓Our call · landedUniversitatea Craiova (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Universitatea Craiova to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.03 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.555%
- Over 3.532%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score49%Universitatea Craiova clean sheet44%KF Egnatia clean sheet13%Winning marginKF Egnatia by 3+1%KF Egnatia by 23%KF Egnatia by 110%Draw21%Universitatea Craiova by 124%Universitatea Craiova by 220%Universitatea Craiova by 3+21%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovSunderland v Dinamo Zagreb0–2✗Our call · missedSunderland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sunderland to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.12 v 0.91Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score53%Sunderland clean sheet40%Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet12%Winning marginDinamo Zagreb by 3+1%Dinamo Zagreb by 24%Dinamo Zagreb by 110%Draw21%Sunderland by 123%Sunderland by 220%Sunderland by 3+22%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 0–2 · 2%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.