Thursday 5 November 2026
Every Kestra call on Thursday 5 November 2026, settled, at the price each was published at before kick-off.
12 of 17 landed
Thu 5 Nov
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC v Hajduk Split1–0✗Our call · missedHajduk Split (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Hajduk Split to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.11 (11/100) at Coral · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 17:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.78 v 2.18Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.580%
- Over 2.557%
- Over 3.535%
- Over 4.518%
Both teams to score49%Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet11%Hajduk Split clean sheet46%Winning marginHajduk Split by 3+24%Hajduk Split by 221%Hajduk Split by 124%Draw19%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 18%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 23%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 12%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 9%
- 1–0 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovKuPS Kuopio v Gent0–0✓Our call · landedGent or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Gent to winPublished price1.20 (1/5) at William Hill · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 17:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.94 v 1.78Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.576%
- Over 2.551%
- Over 3.529%
- Over 4.514%
Both teams to score51%KuPS Kuopio clean sheet17%Gent clean sheet39%Winning marginGent by 3+15%Gent by 218%Gent by 124%Draw24%KuPS Kuopio by 112%KuPS Kuopio by 25%KuPS Kuopio by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 12%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovAtalanta BC v FC Kairat1–1✗Our call · missedAtalanta BC to winMatch result81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Atalanta BC to winPublished price1.20 (1/5) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.20 (1/5) at Coralquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 17:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.99 v 0.82Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.573%
- Over 3.553%
- Over 4.533%
Both teams to score53%Atalanta BC clean sheet44%FC Kairat clean sheet5%Winning marginFC Kairat by 22%FC Kairat by 15%Draw13%Atalanta BC by 119%Atalanta BC by 221%Atalanta BC by 3+41%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 7%
- 1–1 · 6%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovAC Milan v Ferencváros TC0–2✓Our call · landedAC Milan or Ferencváros TCDouble chance82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AC Milan or Ferencváros TC to winPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 17:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.34 v 0.81Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.561%
- Over 3.539%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score50%AC Milan clean sheet45%Ferencváros TC clean sheet10%Winning marginFerencváros TC by 3+1%Ferencváros TC by 23%Ferencváros TC by 18%Draw18%AC Milan by 123%AC Milan by 221%AC Milan by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–2 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovSparta Prague v Bournemouth1–3✓Our call · landedBournemouth or drawDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Bournemouth to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 17:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.98 v 2.12Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.560%
- Over 3.537%
- Over 4.520%
Both teams to score55%Sparta Prague clean sheet12%Bournemouth clean sheet38%Winning marginBournemouth by 3+21%Bournemouth by 219%Bournemouth by 123%Draw21%Sparta Prague by 110%Sparta Prague by 24%Sparta Prague by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 7%
- 1–3 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Lugano v FK Kauno Žalgiris3–0✓Our call · landedFC Lugano or FK Kauno ŽalgirisDouble chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Lugano or FK Kauno Žalgiris to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.94 v 0.87Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.573%
- Over 3.553%
- Over 4.533%
Both teams to score55%FC Lugano clean sheet42%FK Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet5%Winning marginFK Kauno Žalgiris by 3+1%FK Kauno Žalgiris by 22%FK Kauno Žalgiris by 15%Draw13%FC Lugano by 119%FC Lugano by 221%FC Lugano by 3+39%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovAS Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland2–0✓Our call · landedAS Monaco (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AS Monaco to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.28 v 0.99Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.541%
- Over 4.523%
Both teams to score57%AS Monaco clean sheet37%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet10%Winning marginFC Nordsjaelland by 3+1%FC Nordsjaelland by 24%FC Nordsjaelland by 110%Draw19%AS Monaco by 122%AS Monaco by 220%AS Monaco by 3+24%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 19992–1✓Our call · landedFC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999Double chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Copenhagen or FC Iberia 1999 to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.79 v 0.72Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.587%
- Over 2.568%
- Over 3.547%
- Over 4.528%
Both teams to score49%FC Copenhagen clean sheet49%FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet6%Winning marginFC Iberia 1999 by 21%FC Iberia 1999 by 15%Draw13%FC Copenhagen by 120%FC Copenhagen by 222%FC Copenhagen by 3+39%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovGetafe v Brighton and Hove Albion0–1✓Our call · landedBrighton and Hove Albion or drawDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Brighton and Hove Albion to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.81 v 1.79Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.592%
- Over 1.574%
- Over 2.548%
- Over 3.526%
- Over 4.512%
Both teams to score47%Getafe clean sheet17%Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet44%Winning marginBrighton and Hove Albion by 3+16%Brighton and Hove Albion by 219%Brighton and Hove Albion by 125%Draw24%Getafe by 111%Getafe by 24%Getafe by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–1 · 13%
- 0–2 · 12%
- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovPanathinaikos FC v PFC CSKA Sofia2–1✓Our call · landedPanathinaikos FC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Panathinaikos FC to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.17 (17/100) at Coral · next best 1.16 (4/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.10 v 0.93Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.558%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score54%Panathinaikos FC clean sheet39%PFC CSKA Sofia clean sheet12%Winning marginPFC CSKA Sofia by 3+1%PFC CSKA Sofia by 24%PFC CSKA Sofia by 110%Draw21%Panathinaikos FC by 123%Panathinaikos FC by 219%Panathinaikos FC by 3+21%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovFC Twente Enschede v Pafos FC3–1✓Our call · landedFC Twente Enschede (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Twente Enschede to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.10 (1/10) at Coral · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.52 v 0.92Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.567%
- Over 3.545%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score56%FC Twente Enschede clean sheet40%Pafos FC clean sheet8%Winning marginPafos FC by 3+1%Pafos FC by 23%Pafos FC by 18%Draw17%FC Twente Enschede by 121%FC Twente Enschede by 221%FC Twente Enschede by 3+30%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 5 NovUniversitatea Craiova v KF Egnatia2–0✓Our call · landedUniversitatea Craiova (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Universitatea Craiova to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.03 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.555%
- Over 3.532%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score49%Universitatea Craiova clean sheet44%KF Egnatia clean sheet13%Winning marginKF Egnatia by 3+1%KF Egnatia by 23%KF Egnatia by 110%Draw21%Universitatea Craiova by 124%Universitatea Craiova by 220%Universitatea Craiova by 3+21%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovSunderland v Dinamo Zagreb0–2✗Our call · missedSunderland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sunderland to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Coral · next best 1.14 (7/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.12 v 0.91Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score53%Sunderland clean sheet40%Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet12%Winning marginDinamo Zagreb by 3+1%Dinamo Zagreb by 24%Dinamo Zagreb by 110%Draw21%Sunderland by 123%Sunderland by 220%Sunderland by 3+22%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 0–2 · 2%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovSK Sturm Graz v NK Celje2–3✗Our call · missedSK Sturm Graz or drawDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers SK Sturm Graz to win or the drawPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.04 v 1.00Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score56%SK Sturm Graz clean sheet37%NK Celje clean sheet13%Winning marginNK Celje by 3+2%NK Celje by 25%NK Celje by 111%Draw22%SK Sturm Graz by 123%SK Sturm Graz by 219%SK Sturm Graz by 3+19%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 2–3 · 2%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovBenfica v Lech Poznań3–1✓Our call · landedBenfica to winMatch result82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Benfica to winPublished price1.17 (17/100) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.17 (17/100) at Betwayquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 3.17 v 0.84Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.591%
- Over 2.576%
- Over 3.557%
- Over 4.537%
Both teams to score55%Benfica clean sheet43%Lech Poznań clean sheet4%Winning marginLech Poznań by 21%Lech Poznań by 14%Draw11%Benfica by 117%Benfica by 220%Benfica by 3+44%Most likely scorelines- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 5 NovBayer Leverkusen v Marseille0–1✗Our call · missedBayer Leverkusen (DNB)DNB · void on a draw84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Bayer Leverkusen to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.14 (7/50) at Coral · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:07 UTC · kick-off 20:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.45 v 1.01Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.567%
- Over 3.546%
- Over 4.527%
Both teams to score59%Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet36%Marseille clean sheet9%Winning marginMarseille by 3+1%Marseille by 23%Marseille by 19%Draw18%Bayer Leverkusen by 122%Bayer Leverkusen by 220%Bayer Leverkusen by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 0–1 · 3%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Brasileirão Série A · Thu 5 NovPalmeiras v Remo6–1✓Our call · landedPalmeiras or RemoDouble chance85%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Palmeiras or Remo to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.12 (3/25) at William Hillquoted Wed 04:33 UTC · kick-off 22:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.40 v 0.55Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.580%
- Over 2.557%
- Over 3.534%
- Over 4.518%
Both teams to score39%Palmeiras clean sheet57%Remo clean sheet9%Winning marginRemo by 21%Remo by 15%Draw15%Palmeiras by 123%Palmeiras by 223%Palmeiras by 3+33%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 15%
- 1–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 12%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 1–1 · 7%
- 6–1 · 1%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Settled live calls only, as the record counts them: each rated 80% or better before kick-off, at the price a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting, graded on the result. Nothing still to play is listed. Every call is on the results page, losers included. All results →