Thursday 22 October 2026
Every Kestra call on Thursday 22 October 2026, settled, at the price each was published at before kick-off.
17 of 20 landed, 1 void
Thu 22 Oct
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctFC Kairat v Panathinaikos FC1–5✓Our call · landedPanathinaikos FC or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Panathinaikos FC to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 14:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.95 v 1.82Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.577%
- Over 2.552%
- Over 3.530%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score52%FC Kairat clean sheet16%Panathinaikos FC clean sheet39%Winning marginPanathinaikos FC by 3+15%Panathinaikos FC by 218%Panathinaikos FC by 124%Draw24%FC Kairat by 112%FC Kairat by 25%FC Kairat by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
- 1–5 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctFC Nordsjaelland v PFC CSKA Sofia2–2–Our call · voidFC Nordsjaelland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Nordsjaelland to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.15 (3/20) at LiveScore Bet · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Coralquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTCvoid: a Draw No Bet call voids on a draw
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.24 v 0.90Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.561%
- Over 3.538%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score54%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet41%PFC CSKA Sofia clean sheet11%Winning marginPFC CSKA Sofia by 3+1%PFC CSKA Sofia by 23%PFC CSKA Sofia by 19%Draw19%FC Nordsjaelland by 123%FC Nordsjaelland by 220%FC Nordsjaelland by 3+24%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 2–2 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctInter Club d'Escaldes v Universitatea Craiova1–3✓Our call · landedUniversitatea Craiova or drawDouble chance82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Universitatea Craiova to winPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.93 v 1.86Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.577%
- Over 2.553%
- Over 3.531%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score52%Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet16%Universitatea Craiova clean sheet40%Winning marginUniversitatea Craiova by 3+16%Universitatea Craiova by 218%Universitatea Craiova by 124%Draw23%Inter Club d'Escaldes by 112%Inter Club d'Escaldes by 25%Inter Club d'Escaldes by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 0–2 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
- 1–3 · 6%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctTrabzonspor v Hearts2–0✓Our call · landedTrabzonspor (DNB)DNB · void on a draw85%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Trabzonspor to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Bet · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Coralquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.46 v 0.96Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.566%
- Over 3.545%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score57%Trabzonspor clean sheet38%Hearts clean sheet9%Winning marginHearts by 3+1%Hearts by 23%Hearts by 18%Draw18%Trabzonspor by 122%Trabzonspor by 220%Trabzonspor by 3+28%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctFK Jablonec v Brighton and Hove Albion0–0✗Our call · missedFK Jablonec or Brighton and Hove AlbionDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FK Jablonec or Brighton and Hove Albion to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.84 v 2.55Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.566%
- Over 3.544%
- Over 4.525%
Both teams to score53%FK Jablonec clean sheet8%Brighton and Hove Albion clean sheet43%Winning marginBrighton and Hove Albion by 3+31%Brighton and Hove Albion by 221%Brighton and Hove Albion by 121%Draw16%FK Jablonec by 17%FK Jablonec by 22%FK Jablonec by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 11%
- 0–3 · 9%
- 1–2 · 9%
- 0–1 · 8%
- 1–3 · 8%
- 0–0 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctPafos FC v Riga FC1–1✓Our call · landedPafos FC or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Pafos FC to win or the drawPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.84 v 0.95Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.577%
- Over 2.553%
- Over 3.531%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score52%Pafos FC clean sheet38%Riga FC clean sheet16%Winning marginRiga FC by 3+2%Riga FC by 25%Riga FC by 112%Draw24%Pafos FC by 124%Pafos FC by 218%Pafos FC by 3+16%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctFC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar0–4✓Our call · landedAZ Alkmaar or drawDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or AZ Alkmaar to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.99 v 2.12Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.560%
- Over 3.538%
- Over 4.520%
Both teams to score56%FC Ararat-Armenia clean sheet12%AZ Alkmaar clean sheet37%Winning marginAZ Alkmaar by 3+21%AZ Alkmaar by 219%AZ Alkmaar by 123%Draw21%FC Ararat-Armenia by 110%FC Ararat-Armenia by 24%FC Ararat-Armenia by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 7%
- 0–4 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctDinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen2–4✗Our call · missedDinamo Zagreb or drawDouble chance80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Dinamo Zagreb to win or the drawPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 16:22 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.01 v 1.11Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.560%
- Over 3.538%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score59%Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet33%NEC Nijmegen clean sheet13%Winning marginNEC Nijmegen by 3+2%NEC Nijmegen by 25%NEC Nijmegen by 112%Draw22%Dinamo Zagreb by 123%Dinamo Zagreb by 218%Dinamo Zagreb by 3+17%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 2–4 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctUnion Saint-Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva4–0✓Our call · landedUnion Saint-Gilloise or Hapoel Be'er ShevaDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Union Saint-Gilloise or Hapoel Be'er Sheva to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.47 v 0.85Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.542%
- Over 4.524%
Both teams to score53%Union Saint-Gilloise clean sheet43%Hapoel Be'er Sheva clean sheet8%Winning marginHapoel Be'er Sheva by 3+1%Hapoel Be'er Sheva by 22%Hapoel Be'er Sheva by 17%Draw17%Union Saint-Gilloise by 122%Union Saint-Gilloise by 221%Union Saint-Gilloise by 3+30%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 6%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctFerencváros TC v Torreense4–1✓Our call · landedFerencváros TC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Ferencváros TC to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.11 (11/100) at Coral · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.32 v 0.85Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.561%
- Over 3.539%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score52%Ferencváros TC clean sheet43%Torreense clean sheet10%Winning marginTorreense by 3+1%Torreense by 23%Torreense by 18%Draw18%Ferencváros TC by 123%Ferencváros TC by 221%Ferencváros TC by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 4–1 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctJuventus v Rennes2–2✓Our call · landedJuventus or drawDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Juventus to win or the drawPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.97 v 0.97Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.580%
- Over 2.556%
- Over 3.534%
- Over 4.517%
Both teams to score54%Juventus clean sheet38%Rennes clean sheet14%Winning marginRennes by 3+2%Rennes by 24%Rennes by 111%Draw22%Juventus by 124%Juventus by 219%Juventus by 3+18%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
- 2–2 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctLech Poznań v Sunderland1–1✓Our call · landedSunderland or drawDouble chance80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Sunderland to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.15 (3/20) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.99 v 1.82Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.593%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.553%
- Over 3.531%
- Over 4.515%
Both teams to score53%Lech Poznań clean sheet16%Sunderland clean sheet37%Winning marginSunderland by 3+15%Sunderland by 218%Sunderland by 124%Draw24%Lech Poznań by 113%Lech Poznań by 25%Lech Poznań by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 0–1 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctOFI Crete v Bayer Leverkusen0–2✓Our call · landedOFI Crete or Bayer LeverkusenDouble chance86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers OFI Crete or Bayer Leverkusen to winPublished price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.85 v 2.77Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.588%
- Over 2.570%
- Over 3.549%
- Over 4.530%
Both teams to score54%OFI Crete clean sheet6%Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet43%Winning marginBayer Leverkusen by 3+36%Bayer Leverkusen by 221%Bayer Leverkusen by 120%Draw14%OFI Crete by 16%OFI Crete by 22%OFI Crete by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 10%
- 0–3 · 9%
- 1–2 · 9%
- 1–3 · 8%
- 0–1 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctFC Midtjylland v Sint Truiden0–1✗Our call · missedFC Midtjylland or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Midtjylland to win or the drawPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.15 (3/20) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.90 v 1.02Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.579%
- Over 2.556%
- Over 3.534%
- Over 4.517%
Both teams to score55%FC Midtjylland clean sheet36%Sint Truiden clean sheet15%Winning marginSint Truiden by 3+2%Sint Truiden by 25%Sint Truiden by 112%Draw23%FC Midtjylland by 123%FC Midtjylland by 218%FC Midtjylland by 3+16%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–1 · 6%
- 0–1 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctLincoln Red Imps FC v FC Twente Enschede1–4✓Our call · landedLincoln Red Imps FC or FC Twente EnschedeDouble chance85%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Lincoln Red Imps FC or FC Twente Enschede to winPublished price1.11 (11/100) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.76 v 2.64Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.566%
- Over 3.544%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score50%Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet7%FC Twente Enschede clean sheet47%Winning marginFC Twente Enschede by 3+34%FC Twente Enschede by 222%FC Twente Enschede by 121%Draw15%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 16%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 22%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 12%
- 0–3 · 10%
- 1–2 · 9%
- 0–1 · 8%
- 1–3 · 8%
- 1–4 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctAGF Aarhus v KF Egnatia1–1✓Our call · landedAGF Aarhus or drawDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AGF Aarhus to win or the drawPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.94 v 0.89Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.554%
- Over 3.532%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score51%AGF Aarhus clean sheet41%KF Egnatia clean sheet14%Winning marginKF Egnatia by 3+1%KF Egnatia by 24%KF Egnatia by 111%Draw22%AGF Aarhus by 124%AGF Aarhus by 219%AGF Aarhus by 3+18%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 22 OctSC Braga v Gent2–0✓Our call · landedSC Braga or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers SC Braga to win or the drawPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.66 v 0.86Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.591%
- Over 1.572%
- Over 2.546%
- Over 3.525%
- Over 4.511%
Both teams to score47%SC Braga clean sheet42%Gent clean sheet19%Winning marginGent by 3+2%Gent by 25%Gent by 113%Draw26%SC Braga by 125%SC Braga by 217%SC Braga by 3+13%Most likely scorelines- 1–0 · 13%
- 1–1 · 12%
- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 0–0 · 9%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctOlympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Prague1–0✓Our call · landedOlympiakos Piraeus (DNB)DNB · void on a draw80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Olympiakos Piraeus to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.18 (9/50) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.02 v 0.91Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.579%
- Over 2.556%
- Over 3.534%
- Over 4.517%
Both teams to score52%Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet40%Sparta Prague clean sheet13%Winning marginSparta Prague by 3+1%Sparta Prague by 24%Sparta Prague by 110%Draw22%Olympiakos Piraeus by 124%Olympiakos Piraeus by 219%Olympiakos Piraeus by 3+20%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctOmonoia FC v Benfica1–4✓Our call · landedBenfica (DNB)DNB · void on a draw85%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Benfica to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.13 (13/100) at Coral · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.89 v 2.31Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.540%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score54%Omonoia FC clean sheet10%Benfica clean sheet41%Winning marginBenfica by 3+26%Benfica by 221%Benfica by 123%Draw19%Omonoia FC by 18%Omonoia FC by 23%Omonoia FC by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 8%
- 1–4 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctLillestrom v Real Sociedad0–6✓Our call · landedReal Sociedad or drawDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Real Sociedad to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.02 v 2.14Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.561%
- Over 3.539%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score57%Lillestrom clean sheet12%Real Sociedad clean sheet36%Winning marginReal Sociedad by 3+21%Real Sociedad by 219%Real Sociedad by 123%Draw21%Lillestrom by 111%Lillestrom by 24%Lillestrom by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 1–3 · 7%
- 0–6 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 22 OctNK Celje v Salzburg2–2✓Our call · landedSalzburg or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Salzburg to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.15 (3/20) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:41 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.04 v 1.99Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.558%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score56%NK Celje clean sheet14%Salzburg clean sheet35%Winning marginSalzburg by 3+18%Salzburg by 218%Salzburg by 123%Draw22%NK Celje by 112%NK Celje by 25%NK Celje by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 1–3 · 7%
- 2–2 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Settled live calls only, as the record counts them: each rated 80% or better before kick-off, at the price a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting, graded on the result. Nothing still to play is listed. Every call is on the results page, losers included. All results →