Tuesday 20 October 2026
Every Kestra call on Tuesday 20 October 2026, settled, at the price each was published at before kick-off.
7 of 8 landed
Tue 20 Oct
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctFenerbahce v Slavia Praha2–2✓Our call · landedFenerbahce or drawDouble chance80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Fenerbahce to win or the drawPublished price1.20 (1/5) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Mon 18:02 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.97 v 1.08Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score57%Fenerbahce clean sheet34%Slavia Praha clean sheet14%Winning marginSlavia Praha by 3+2%Slavia Praha by 25%Slavia Praha by 112%Draw23%Fenerbahce by 123%Fenerbahce by 218%Fenerbahce by 3+17%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 2–2 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctSabah FK v Borussia Dortmund1–2✓Our call · landedSabah FK or Borussia DortmundDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sabah FK or Borussia Dortmund to winPublished price1.13 (13/100) at Virgin Bet · next best 1.12 (3/25) at William Hillquoted Mon 02:34 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.95 v 2.67Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.588%
- Over 2.570%
- Over 3.549%
- Over 4.530%
Both teams to score57%Sabah FK clean sheet7%Borussia Dortmund clean sheet39%Winning marginBorussia Dortmund by 3+32%Borussia Dortmund by 221%Borussia Dortmund by 121%Draw16%Sabah FK by 17%Sabah FK by 23%Sabah FK by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 9%
- 0–3 · 9%
- 1–3 · 8%
- 1–1 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Championship · Tue 20 OctWolves v Portsmouth1–1✓Our call · landedWolves or drawDouble chance82%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Wolves to win or the drawPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Mon 04:32 UTC · kick-off 18:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.15 v 1.11Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.563%
- Over 3.541%
- Over 4.523%
Both teams to score59%Wolves clean sheet33%Portsmouth clean sheet12%Winning marginPortsmouth by 3+2%Portsmouth by 25%Portsmouth by 112%Draw21%Wolves by 123%Wolves by 218%Wolves by 3+20%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctManchester City v AEK Athens5–1✓Our call · landedManchester City to winMatch result87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Manchester City to winPublished price1.12 (3/25) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.12 (3/25) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Mon 02:34 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 3.50 v 0.73Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.593%
- Over 2.580%
- Over 3.561%
- Over 4.542%
Both teams to score50%Manchester City clean sheet48%AEK Athens clean sheet3%Winning marginAEK Athens by 21%AEK Athens by 13%Draw9%Manchester City by 115%Manchester City by 219%Manchester City by 3+53%Most likely scorelines- 3–0 · 10%
- 4–0 · 9%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–1 · 7%
- 5–1 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctPorto v PSV Eindhoven0–1✗Our call · missedPorto or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Porto to win or the drawPublished price1.20 (1/5) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Mon 09:28 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.08 v 1.10Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.539%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score59%Porto clean sheet33%PSV Eindhoven clean sheet13%Winning marginPSV Eindhoven by 3+2%PSV Eindhoven by 25%PSV Eindhoven by 112%Draw22%Porto by 123%Porto by 218%Porto by 3+19%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 0–1 · 4%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctNapoli v Bodø/Glimt4–3✓Our call · landedNapoli or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Napoli to win or the drawPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.16 (4/25) at Virgin Betquoted Mon 02:34 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.09 v 1.11Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.540%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score59%Napoli clean sheet33%Bodø/Glimt clean sheet12%Winning marginBodø/Glimt by 3+2%Bodø/Glimt by 25%Bodø/Glimt by 112%Draw22%Napoli by 123%Napoli by 218%Napoli by 3+19%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 4–3 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctLiverpool v Villarreal4–3✓Our call · landedLiverpool (DNB)DNB · void on a draw81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Liverpool to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.15 (3/20) at LiveScore Betquoted Mon 02:34 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.21 v 1.01Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.540%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score57%Liverpool clean sheet37%Villarreal clean sheet11%Winning marginVillarreal by 3+1%Villarreal by 24%Villarreal by 110%Draw20%Liverpool by 123%Liverpool by 219%Liverpool by 3+22%Most likely scorelines- 2–1 · 10%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
- 4–3 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Champions League · Tue 20 OctAS Roma v ŠK Slovan Bratislava4–0✓Our call · landedAS Roma to winMatch result82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AS Roma to winPublished price1.20 (1/5) at Betfair Exchange (exchange, before commission) · next best 1.20 (1/5) at Matchbook (exchange, before commission)quoted Mon 02:34 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 3.05 v 0.80Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.590%
- Over 2.574%
- Over 3.554%
- Over 4.534%
Both teams to score53%AS Roma clean sheet45%ŠK Slovan Bratislava clean sheet5%Winning marginŠK Slovan Bratislava by 21%ŠK Slovan Bratislava by 15%Draw12%AS Roma by 118%AS Roma by 221%AS Roma by 3+43%Most likely scorelines- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–0 · 10%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Settled live calls only, as the record counts them: each rated 80% or better before kick-off, at the price a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting, graded on the result. Nothing still to play is listed. Every call is on the results page, losers included. All results →