Thursday 15 October 2026
Every Kestra call on Thursday 15 October 2026, settled, at the price each was published at before kick-off.
19 of 20 landed, 2 void
Thu 15 Oct
- MLS · Thu 15 OctNashville SC v Sporting Kansas City4–0✓Our call · landedNashville SC or Sporting Kansas CityDouble chance83%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Nashville SC or Sporting Kansas City to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.09 (9/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 04:32 UTC · kick-off 00:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 2.46 v 0.88Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.543%
- Over 4.525%
Both teams to score53%Nashville SC clean sheet42%Sporting Kansas City clean sheet9%Winning marginSporting Kansas City by 3+1%Sporting Kansas City by 23%Sporting Kansas City by 18%Draw17%Nashville SC by 121%Nashville SC by 221%Nashville SC by 3+29%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 5%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- MLS · Thu 15 OctLos Angeles FC v Austin FC3–1✓Our call · landedLos Angeles FC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw81%rated to land, by our modelHow we saw the matchcovers Los Angeles FC to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.17 (17/100) at Coral · next best 1.15 (3/20) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 04:32 UTC · kick-off 02:30 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals 1.99 v 0.84Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.554%
- Over 3.532%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score49%Los Angeles FC clean sheet43%Austin FC clean sheet14%Winning marginAustin FC by 3+1%Austin FC by 24%Austin FC by 110%Draw22%Los Angeles FC by 124%Los Angeles FC by 220%Los Angeles FC by 3+20%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 6%
Our view of the whole match, in line with the rating above. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctMjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0✓Our call · landedMjällby AIF or Inter Club d'EscaldesDouble chance82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Mjällby AIF or Inter Club d'Escaldes to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.31 v 0.77Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.537%
- Over 4.520%
Both teams to score49%Mjällby AIF clean sheet46%Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet10%Winning marginInter Club d'Escaldes by 3+1%Inter Club d'Escaldes by 22%Inter Club d'Escaldes by 17%Draw18%Mjällby AIF by 123%Mjällby AIF by 221%Mjällby AIF by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctPFC CSKA Sofia v AS Monaco1–2✓Our call · landedAS Monaco (DNB)DNB · void on a draw80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AS Monaco to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.16 (4/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.94 v 2.11Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.581%
- Over 2.559%
- Over 3.536%
- Over 4.519%
Both teams to score54%PFC CSKA Sofia clean sheet12%AS Monaco clean sheet39%Winning marginAS Monaco by 3+21%AS Monaco by 219%AS Monaco by 123%Draw21%PFC CSKA Sofia by 110%PFC CSKA Sofia by 24%PFC CSKA Sofia by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 0–3 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctPanathinaikos FC v FK Borac Banja Luka2–1✓Our call · landedPanathinaikos FC or FK Borac Banja LukaDouble chance86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Panathinaikos FC or FK Borac Banja Luka to winPublished price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.67 v 0.74Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.566%
- Over 3.544%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score49%Panathinaikos FC clean sheet48%FK Borac Banja Luka clean sheet7%Winning marginFK Borac Banja Luka by 22%FK Borac Banja Luka by 15%Draw14%Panathinaikos FC by 121%Panathinaikos FC by 222%Panathinaikos FC by 3+36%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctKuPS Kuopio v Trabzonspor2–4✓Our call · landedTrabzonspor (DNB)DNB · void on a draw82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Trabzonspor to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.18 (9/50) at LiveScore Bet · next best 1.17 (17/100) at Coralquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.86 v 2.04Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.579%
- Over 2.555%
- Over 3.533%
- Over 4.517%
Both teams to score51%KuPS Kuopio clean sheet13%Trabzonspor clean sheet42%Winning marginTrabzonspor by 3+21%Trabzonspor by 220%Trabzonspor by 124%Draw21%KuPS Kuopio by 110%KuPS Kuopio by 24%KuPS Kuopio by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 11%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–3 · 8%
- 2–4 · 1%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctGent v AGF Aarhus1–0✓Our call · landedGent or drawDouble chance82%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Gent to win or the drawPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.15 (3/20) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.88 v 0.94Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.554%
- Over 3.531%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score52%Gent clean sheet39%AGF Aarhus clean sheet15%Winning marginAGF Aarhus by 3+2%AGF Aarhus by 25%AGF Aarhus by 112%Draw23%Gent by 124%Gent by 218%Gent by 3+17%Most likely scorelines- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–0 · 11%
- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 3–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctKF Egnatia v FC Midtjylland1–1–Our call · voidFC Midtjylland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw80%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Midtjylland to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.17 (17/100) at Coral · next best 1.17 (17/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTCvoid: a Draw No Bet call voids on a draw
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.87 v 1.97Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.594%
- Over 1.578%
- Over 2.554%
- Over 3.532%
- Over 4.516%
Both teams to score51%KF Egnatia clean sheet14%FC Midtjylland clean sheet42%Winning marginFC Midtjylland by 3+19%FC Midtjylland by 219%FC Midtjylland by 124%Draw22%KF Egnatia by 110%KF Egnatia by 24%KF Egnatia by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 11%
- 0–1 · 11%
- 1–1 · 11%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–3 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctAZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva2–1✓Our call · landedAZ Alkmaar or Hapoel Be'er ShevaDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers AZ Alkmaar or Hapoel Be'er Sheva to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.11 (11/100) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.52 v 0.84Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.565%
- Over 3.543%
- Over 4.525%
Both teams to score53%AZ Alkmaar clean sheet43%Hapoel Be'er Sheva clean sheet8%Winning marginHapoel Be'er Sheva by 3+1%Hapoel Be'er Sheva by 22%Hapoel Be'er Sheva by 17%Draw16%AZ Alkmaar by 122%AZ Alkmaar by 221%AZ Alkmaar by 3+31%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctLech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen0–4✓Our call · landedBayer Leverkusen or drawDouble chance81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Bayer Leverkusen to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at William Hill · next best 1.14 (7/50) at Virgin Betquoted 08:44 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.16 v 2.18Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.565%
- Over 3.543%
- Over 4.524%
Both teams to score61%Lech Poznań clean sheet11%Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet31%Winning marginBayer Leverkusen by 3+20%Bayer Leverkusen by 218%Bayer Leverkusen by 122%Draw21%Lech Poznań by 112%Lech Poznań by 25%Lech Poznań by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–2 · 8%
- 0–1 · 7%
- 1–3 · 7%
- 0–4 · 3%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctTorreense v Sunderland1–2✓Our call · landedSunderland (DNB)DNB · void on a draw84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sunderland to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Bet · next best 1.12 (3/25) at Coralquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 0.97 v 2.36Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.585%
- Over 2.565%
- Over 3.543%
- Over 4.524%
Both teams to score57%Torreense clean sheet9%Sunderland clean sheet38%Winning marginSunderland by 3+26%Sunderland by 220%Sunderland by 122%Draw19%Torreense by 19%Torreense by 23%Torreense by 3+1%Most likely scorelines- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 0–1 · 8%
- 0–3 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctSparta Prague v Lillestrom1–1–Our call · voidSparta Prague (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sparta Prague to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.10 (1/10) at Coral · next best 1.09 (9/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:45 UTCvoid: a Draw No Bet call voids on a draw
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.39 v 0.89Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.584%
- Over 2.564%
- Over 3.542%
- Over 4.523%
Both teams to score54%Sparta Prague clean sheet41%Lillestrom clean sheet9%Winning marginLillestrom by 3+1%Lillestrom by 23%Lillestrom by 18%Draw18%Sparta Prague by 122%Sparta Prague by 221%Sparta Prague by 3+27%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctHajduk Split v Ajax2–1✗Our call · missedAjax or drawDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers the draw or Ajax to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 16:46 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 1.00 v 2.12Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.560%
- Over 3.538%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score56%Hajduk Split clean sheet12%Ajax clean sheet37%Winning marginAjax by 3+20%Ajax by 219%Ajax by 123%Draw21%Hajduk Split by 111%Hajduk Split by 24%Hajduk Split by 3+2%Most likely scorelines- 1–2 · 10%
- 0–2 · 10%
- 1–1 · 10%
- 0–1 · 9%
- 1–3 · 7%
- 2–1 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctSC Freiburg v FK Jablonec3–2✓Our call · landedSC Freiburg or FK JablonecDouble chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers SC Freiburg or FK Jablonec to winPublished price1.17 (17/100) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.43 v 0.76Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.539%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score49%SC Freiburg clean sheet47%FK Jablonec clean sheet9%Winning marginFK Jablonec by 3+1%FK Jablonec by 22%FK Jablonec by 17%Draw17%SC Freiburg by 122%SC Freiburg by 222%SC Freiburg by 3+30%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
- 3–2 · 3%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctFC Twente Enschede v FC Thun1–0✓Our call · landedFC Twente Enschede or FC ThunDouble chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers FC Twente Enschede or FC Thun to winPublished price1.10 (1/10) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 3.00 v 0.95Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.598%
- Over 1.591%
- Over 2.575%
- Over 3.556%
- Over 4.536%
Both teams to score59%FC Twente Enschede clean sheet38%FC Thun clean sheet5%Winning marginFC Thun by 3+1%FC Thun by 22%FC Thun by 16%Draw13%FC Twente Enschede by 119%FC Twente Enschede by 220%FC Twente Enschede by 3+39%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 6%
- 1–0 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctSK Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC2–1✓Our call · landedSK Brann to winMatch result81%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers SK Brann to winPublished price1.18 (9/50) at Coral · next best 1.17 (17/100) at 888sportquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.93 v 0.74Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.588%
- Over 2.571%
- Over 3.550%
- Over 4.531%
Both teams to score50%SK Brann clean sheet48%Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet5%Winning marginLincoln Red Imps FC by 21%Lincoln Red Imps FC by 15%Draw12%SK Brann by 119%SK Brann by 221%SK Brann by 3+41%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 3–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 4–0 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctSint Truiden v FC Iberia 19992–0✓Our call · landedSint Truiden or FC Iberia 1999Double chance83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Sint Truiden or FC Iberia 1999 to winPublished price1.15 (3/20) at William Hill · next best 1.13 (13/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.41 v 0.78Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.583%
- Over 2.562%
- Over 3.540%
- Over 4.522%
Both teams to score50%Sint Truiden clean sheet46%FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet9%Winning marginFC Iberia 1999 by 3+1%FC Iberia 1999 by 22%FC Iberia 1999 by 17%Draw17%Sint Truiden by 122%Sint Truiden by 221%Sint Truiden by 3+29%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Conference League · Thu 15 OctAtalanta BC v Pafos FC3–1✓Our call · landedAtalanta BC (DNB)DNB · void on a draw86%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Atalanta BC to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.11 (11/100) at Coral · next best 1.11 (11/100) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.27 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.560%
- Over 3.537%
- Over 4.520%
Both teams to score51%Atalanta BC clean sheet44%Pafos FC clean sheet10%Winning marginPafos FC by 3+1%Pafos FC by 23%Pafos FC by 18%Draw19%Atalanta BC by 123%Atalanta BC by 221%Atalanta BC by 3+26%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 12%
- 1–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 3–1 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctBournemouth v SK Sturm Graz3–0✓Our call · landedBournemouth or SK Sturm GrazDouble chance87%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Bournemouth or SK Sturm Graz to winPublished price1.11 (11/100) at William Hill · next best 1.08 (2/25) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.84 v 0.78Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.588%
- Over 2.570%
- Over 3.549%
- Over 4.530%
Both teams to score52%Bournemouth clean sheet46%SK Sturm Graz clean sheet6%Winning marginSK Sturm Graz by 22%SK Sturm Graz by 15%Draw13%Bournemouth by 120%Bournemouth by 221%Bournemouth by 3+38%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctRennes v OFI Crete2–1✓Our call · landedRennes or OFI CreteDouble chance84%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Rennes or OFI Crete to winPublished price1.14 (7/50) at William Hill · next best 1.12 (3/25) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.61 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.596%
- Over 1.586%
- Over 2.567%
- Over 3.545%
- Over 4.526%
Both teams to score53%Rennes clean sheet43%OFI Crete clean sheet7%Winning marginOFI Crete by 3+1%OFI Crete by 22%OFI Crete by 16%Draw16%Rennes by 121%Rennes by 221%Rennes by 3+33%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 3–0 · 9%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 8%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctJagiellonia Białystok v FC Ararat-Armenia3–1✓Our call · landedJagiellonia Białystok (DNB)DNB · void on a draw83%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Jagiellonia Białystok to win · a draw voids itPublished price1.14 (7/50) at Coral · next best 1.12 (3/25) at LiveScore Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.23 v 0.90Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.595%
- Over 1.582%
- Over 2.561%
- Over 3.538%
- Over 4.521%
Both teams to score53%Jagiellonia Białystok clean sheet41%FC Ararat-Armenia clean sheet11%Winning marginFC Ararat-Armenia by 3+1%FC Ararat-Armenia by 23%FC Ararat-Armenia by 19%Draw20%Jagiellonia Białystok by 123%Jagiellonia Białystok by 220%Jagiellonia Białystok by 3+24%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 2–1 · 10%
- 1–0 · 9%
- 1–1 · 9%
- 3–0 · 8%
- 3–1 · 7%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
- Europa League · Thu 15 OctBenfica v Celtic4–1✓Our call · landedBenfica or CelticDouble chance85%market consensusHow we saw the matchcovers Benfica or Celtic to winPublished price1.12 (3/25) at William Hill · next best 1.10 (1/10) at Virgin Betquoted Wed 02:53 UTC · kick-off 19:00 UTC
Match map ↓Close map
Expected goals · from the market consensus 2.67 v 0.83Outlined: the final score on the grid, and every figure that came true.
Total goals- Over 0.597%
- Over 1.587%
- Over 2.568%
- Over 3.546%
- Over 4.527%
Both teams to score53%Benfica clean sheet44%Celtic clean sheet7%Winning marginCeltic by 3+1%Celtic by 22%Celtic by 16%Draw15%Benfica by 121%Benfica by 221%Benfica by 3+34%Most likely scorelines- 2–0 · 11%
- 3–0 · 10%
- 2–1 · 9%
- 3–1 · 8%
- 1–0 · 8%
- 4–1 · 5%
Total goals follow the shape, not the market.
The shape of this match from the bookmakers' consensus, with no model behind it. The call is the line on the record; the rest is the picture behind it.
Settled live calls only, as the record counts them: each rated 80% or better before kick-off, at the price a UK bookmaker or exchange was quoting, graded on the result. Nothing still to play is listed. Every call is on the results page, losers included. All results →